HeathcareDeaths from COVID-19 in Peru will continue to rise

Deaths from COVID-19 in Peru will continue to rise

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The rapid increase in infected people, added to the number of those who have not received vaccines, and the various populations that remain vulnerable to SARS-CoV-2 infection are the variables that have allowed, after about six months, the number of deaths in Peru from COVID-19 has exceeded 100 daily.

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Last April, the average number of daily deaths was above 800. Then, the national vaccination began with older adults and in July the number of deaths began to decrease. For August and September, the average remained between 30 and 35″, explains the Trade engineer Juan Carbajal, data analyst and former member of the OpenCovid-Peru platform.

It adds that – except for March 2020 – so far in the pandemic, October 13, 2021 was the date on which the fewest deaths were recorded (20). The day with the most deaths COVID-19 It was on April 9 of the same year: 848 dead.

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“In the first week of January, 293 deaths were registered and in the second 444. This shows an increase of 52% in deaths. That will only be reflected in about three or four weeks. We will continue to see the increase in the number of deaths because it is due to the greater number of infections that have been taking place., says Dante Cersso, head of the Essalud Intelligence and Data Analysis Unit.

The exponential growth in the number of new cases in just a few days seems to confirm the predominance of the omicron variant in the country. Although the percentage of people who may die is lower, the increase in infections in absolute numbers and in a shorter time begins to show an increase in deaths.

Without letting your guard down

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In recent statements to RPP, the Minister of Health, Hernando Cevallos, indicated that the number of new cases of COVID-19 it doubles every three weeks, and it will remain that way during February and part of March, so not only an increase in the number of infected is expected, but also greater pressure on the national health system.

“What we are seeing coincides with what has happened in the most recent waves in other countries where the omicron variant is predominant: many infected, mild cases, number of hospitalizations and deaths not very high. All that for vaccination., reflects the medical epidemiologist Edward Mezones Holguín.

During the first and second waves we witnessed how our health system was stretched to the limit, reaching the brink of collapse. In this third wave, for the high number of infections, not only clinics and hospitals can collapse, but also other industries.

“Before we suffered from a lack of ICU beds, now we can also suffer from a lack of personnel. one infected by COVID-19 he cannot go to work, because he can infect others and if he is a health worker, he could infect vulnerable people. But not only that: Right now we are seeing how many services are not attending because they have their staff infected “, emphasizes Patricia García, epidemiologist and former Minister of Health.

what’s coming

The epidemiologist Mezones Holguín considers that we are at a key moment for the development of the pandemic in the country, for which he appeals to the responsibility of the population. : always looking for open spaces, social distancing, all care and recommendations, and, of course, completing the vaccination”.

“If we are to continue considering that, the high numbers of new infections and their consequences are going to take their toll on us”Garcia emphasizes.

More figures:

  • for 19 weeks followed by the number of weekly deaths by COVID-19 did not exceed 300.
  • In the last four weeks hospitalizations increased by 141.5%. This number began to grow since last December 24.
  • The age group that has made the most progress in receiving the booster dose of the vaccine against COVID-19 It’s of 70 to 79 years (75.95%), followed by 80 and over (73.75%).

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