Spoiler alert: do not wait for announcements during the greetings of the President of the Republic this Friday evening. For the last New Year’s speech of his five-year term, Emmanuel Macron should, as tradition dictates, place his speech under the sign of “balance sheet and prospects”
On the form, the Elysee maintains the mystery: will the president speak by the fireside like last year? “There will be some particular symbols” is content to indicate to our colleagues of the Parisian his entourage, in reference to the French presidency of the EU which starts this Saturday. Will the ten-minute speech be recorded or broadcast live? “It is not yet arbitrated. It will mostly depend on how he feels about things. We will decide at the last moment ”, indicates the same source in Parisian.
“List the country’s challenges for 2022”
Basically, the Head of State, just back from his Var resort of Brégançon, will “list the challenges of the country for 2022, including the French presidency of the European Union (PFUE) and management pandemic “, but also” look with lucidity the past months and with pragmatism the months to come “, indicates the Elysee to AFP without details.
Whoever has not yet indicated whether he would run again in 2022 – which no one doubts – should thus defend his management of the health crisis and underline the good news on the front of the economy and employment. Massively supported by the State, growth should reach 6.7% in 2021 then 3.6% for 2022, according to the Banque de France. And unemployment remains at its lowest since 2008, at 8.1%.
As a plea, the Elysee Palace posted on the networks on Thursday a summary video of 2021, which mixes sporting and scientific exploits with presidential decisions and slogans, especially outside Covid. We thus see successive McFly and Carlito at the Elysee Palace, Julian Alaphilippe, Thomas Pesquet in the space station, the Notre-Dame site, vaccinations, the robot on Mars, the Arc de Triomphe packed, the new TGV, his announcement of the doubling of paternity leave, the funeral of Jean-Paul Belmondo, Olympic medalists in Tokyo, the leitmotif “produce” the vaccine, the slogan “make a nation” or even the pantheonization of Josephine Baker.
The president could also address the subject that he hardly ever discusses directly: the presidential election of April 2022. Not to declare his candidacy but to evoke the maintenance of the election despite the Covid, as he has already assured last week in the Council of Ministers.
While January 1 will kick off the French presidency of the EU, Emmanuel Macron will recall his great ambitions for this semester which will allow him to push a few files. Even if the short deadline of this rotating presidency, largely formal, will not be enough.
Among its priorities are the creation of an investment budget in Europe, with modification of the Maastricht criteria, the protection of borders against illegal migrants as well as the establishment of a carbon tax for imports from outside the EU. So many themes that can serve as a springboard for a future campaign.
Wind of pessimism
But it will have to capture the attention of particularly pessimistic French people, of whom only 17% think that 2022 will be better than 2021, according to an Odoxa poll carried out on the Internet on December 21 and 22. Not only 85% predict the continuation of the health crisis but 60% a social movement of the yellow vests type. Health and purchasing power compete for the first place of their concerns.
However, Emmanuel Macron remains the favorite of the forecasts, since 53% see him reelected. It remains at the top of the podium political figures who will “do” 2022, ahead of Valérie Pécresse and Éric Zemmour.
His Prime Minister will be on the ground Friday evening, to show his support for the police responsible for ensuring the safety of New Year’s Eve on the Champs-Elysées where alcoholic gatherings will be banned and bars will have to close. at 2 a.m. Jean Castex will also show his support for caregivers during a visit to Cochin hospital, ending with firefighters.