Skip to content
Opposition primaries in Venezuela: the favorite candidates and what is the worst scenario for Maduro

Opposition primaries in Venezuela: the favorite candidates and what is the worst scenario for Maduro

Opposition primaries in Venezuela: the favorite candidates and what is the worst scenario for Maduro

The Democratic Unitary Platform, the coalition of the most important opposition parties in Venezuelalook for a candidate who can defeat Nicolas Maduro in the 2024 presidential elections. The formula is the same as in past elections: go to primaries so that the citizens themselves define the designated person. And these primaries already have a date, they will be next October 22.

But as analysts say, in Venezuela Anything can happen and it is not 100% certain that these primaries will finally take place, especially since Unity is what Chavismo wants to avoid so as not to see its permanence in power endangered. Taking the background into account, it is clear that judicial and electoral tools have already been used to neutralize, divide, outlaw, and disable opponents or parties.

LOOK: Who is Tareck El Aissami, the powerful minister who resigned due to a corruption scandal that shakes Chavismo

Yet the opposition go ahead with your goal and has set a deadline of May 24 for the registration of applicants.

In addition, there are already opposition politicians campaigning touring the country.

one of them in Henrique Caprilesa leading opposition figure who in the 2012 elections finished close to Hugo Chavez and a year later, after his death, he was about to defeat Nicolás Maduro.

capriles He began his campaign at the beginning of March after receiving the support of his party justice first. He swept an internal consultation of the organization, in front of two other leaders.

“From today we tell you that we have a presidential candidate, and it is Henrique capriles radonski. I think it’s a great gift, because there is no corner of Venezuela where there is not a poster of Henrique Capriles and, above all, an emotional connection with Henrique Capriles”, said that time María Beatriz Martínez, president of the party.

But Henrique Capriles, 50 years old, was disqualified in 2017 from holding public office for 15 years for alleged “administrative irregularities” during his tenure as governor of Miranda state. It is not yet clear what would happen to his candidacy if he wins the opposition primary.

Another strong candidate is Maria Corina Machadoof the party Sell ​​Venezuelawho also travels the country raising a radical discourse against Chavismo.

María Corina Machado campaigning in Barquisimeto. (@MCM Press, Twitter).

While Juan GuaidoThe 39-year-old leader who was recognized as president in charge of Venezuela by the United States and dozens of other countries, will also participate in the primaries. This despite the fact that he is also disqualified from holding public office for 15 years.

“It was decided that Juan Guaido was the candidate of Voluntad Popular”, announced on March 7 Freddy Superlano, political coordinator of that force, founded by the exiled leader Leopoldo López.

Among the five favorites are also the governor of Zulia, Manuel Rosales, who was exiled in Peru; and the comedian, lawyer and businessman Benjamin Rausseobetter known as Er Conde del Guácharo and considered as the ‘outsider’ of this campaign.

Trade spoke with the doctor in Political Science and Venezuelan political scientist louis salamanca on the importance of the opposition primaries and on the maneuvers that the Government could carry out so that there is not a single candidacy among its adversaries.

Salamanca explained that the possibility of obtaining a candidate with a broad consensus among the electorate is very highThis despite the division within the opposition ranks. He also stressed that the single candidacy would cause broad citizen participation on the day of the presidential elections, something that favors the opposition.

“There is a government campaign so that the primaries do not take place. However, they are advancing in their work schedule, against all oddsSalamanca said.

“The process is going well within the great limitations that exist in Venezuela to carry out opposition politics. To the division that occurs among the opponents for ideological reasons, for political strategy, for not agreeing on the best way to remove the Maduro regime, we must add a type of fragmentation caused by the same regime among the opposition ranks. Chavismo attracts some sectors that are particularly inclined to come to terms with the regime. So, let’s say, an opposition of the opposition has emerged, which in this case is called the so-called Democratic Alliance, which is facing the Democratic Unitary Platformwhich is the one that promotes the primaries ”Salamanca said.

Salamanca also recalled how these divisions were fed by the regime. “Right now there are several important opposition parties that are being prosecuted. The regime, with its courts, managed to decapitate the legitimate leadership and handed over the party to sectors that are in agreement with the Government. That happened with Acción Democrática, which is fractured in two and the legal personality and symbols of the party are held by the sector that is in agreement with Maduro,” he said.

An image from March 7, 2023 showing the political leader Manuel Rosales, of the Un Nuevo Tiempo party.  (EFE/ Miguel Gutierrez).

An image from March 7, 2023 showing the political leader Manuel Rosales, of the Un Nuevo Tiempo party. (EFE/ Miguel Gutierrez). (MIGUEL GUTIERREZ /)

And why the government’s eagerness to break the opposition? Salamanca is conclusive in saying that unity empowers the opposition. “The unity candidate would easily get 60% of the vote if the regime lets him participate. Now, in Venezuela, the issue is no longer asking for maximum conditions for participation, but rather a minimum, which is to respect the candidate who comes out of the primaries, not to disqualify him, and respect the card with which he is going to vote.” write down.

But what would happen to capriles if he wins the primaries or if he does Guaidóboth disqualified from holding public office?

“What remains is the negotiation with the regime so that it respects the result of the primaries, because what the regime is interested in is staying in power and removing international sanctions”Salamanca maintains.

“The opposition must have a plan B and even C,” he emphasized.

“At this stage one begins to make their calculations. Capriles is disabled. Same Guaidó. Rosales is easily disqualified because this regime invents files for you. María Corina Machado was disqualified on one occasion because she did not declare some tickets that they gave before, the cestaticket, which were to supplement her salary. She is from a family that has money, she didn’t need to hide it, but they can do it again with her. They can easily disbar you because they run the courts. would only remain Er Conde del Guácharo if they rule out everyone else”Salamanca said.

As for the ruling United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV), Nicolas Maduro He has already proclaimed himself a presidential candidate without there being any primaries.

Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro delivers a speech during a meeting celebrating International Youth Day at the Miraflores Presidential Palace, on February 12, 2023. (Photo by Federico PARRA / AFP).

Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro delivers a speech during a meeting celebrating International Youth Day at the Miraflores Presidential Palace, on February 12, 2023. (Photo by Federico PARRA / AFP). (FEDERICO PARRA /)

“Maduro is running alone, for a long time he has been doing the work of a presidential candidate, and no one has come out to dispute the terrain. Anyone who dares to challenge that candidacy within Chavismo is going to see it very badly “Salamanca sentenced.

Source: Elcomercio

Share this article:
globalhappenings news.jpg
most popular