In a poll, Pécresse follows Macron in the first round and overtakes him in the second

Valérie Pécresse is turning the presidential game upside down. The candidate nominated by LR climbs to 20% of the voting intentions in the first round of the 2022 election and is given the winner against Emmanuel Macron in the second round, according to an Elabe poll published on Tuesday.

In this survey, carried out for BFMTV / L’Express after her appointment on Saturday and the meetings of far-right polemicist Eric Zemmour and Insoumis Jean-Luc Mélenchon on Sunday, the president of the Île-de-France region takes full advantage of the “primary” effect. It has gained 11 points compared to the previous study by this institute carried out on 23 and 24 November.

Emmanuel Macron is for his part credited with 23% of voting intentions, down two points. In the event of a second round between these two candidates, the outgoing president is given defeated, at 48% against 52% for Valérie Pécresse. In the first round, they are well ahead of the RN candidate Marine Le Pen at 15% (-5) and Eric Zemmour at 14% (+1).

Left-wing candidates under 10%

The main left candidates are all down by one point and below 10%: Jean-Luc Mélenchon is given at 8%, the ecologist Yannick Jadot at 7, the socialist Anne Hidalgo at 3. Follow Arnaud Montebourg with still 2%, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan (2%, -1), Jean Lassale (2%, +1), Philippe Poutou (2%, no change), Fabien Roussel (1%, -1) and Nathalie Arthaud (1 % as in the previous study).

According to Elabe, Eric Zemmour “would manage to win votes among the voters of Marine Le Pen in 2017 (30%, +8), but he would lose some among the voters of François Fillon (17%, -7) who would rather mobilize for Valérie Pécresse ”. “There is a desire for alternation, concrete, with solutions for the country, it is we who embody them today”, reacted on BFMTV Valérie Pécresse, before a visit to the emergency room of the Lariboisière hospital with her former competitor at the LR Philippe Juvin congress.

A margin of error between 1.2 and 3.1 points

According to the survey, 57% (+1) of voters say they are “quite certain to vote” in the 2022 presidential election, but “44% of voters intending to vote are not sure. of their choice and could change their mind ”. This Survey was carried out on the Internet on December 6 and 7, 2021, with a sample of 1,474 people, including 1,354 registered on the electoral roll. The margin of error is between 1.2 and 3.1 points.