Macron vs Le Pen: Who leads the polls just 5 days before the second presidential round in France?

The French president, the liberal Emmanuel Macronhas shown an upward progression in voting intentions for the second round of the presidential elections since the first round, when it finished in the lead ahead of the far-right Marine LePen.

On the eve of Wednesday’s televised debate, billed as a key campaign moment, the candidate for re-election has an advantage of between seven and nine points over his rivalwhen a week ago the biggest difference was five points.

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The president finished last day 10 at the head of the first round with 27.84% of the votes, compared to 23.15% for Le Pen, who led the leftist Jean-Luc Mélenchon by just under 500,000 votes.

In most polls, Macron has gained almost three points against his rival, after having multiplied the campaign events and having made concessions to the programs of some of the candidates eliminated in the first round.

In particular, the president has sent messages to the electorate of the leftist Jean-Luc Mélenchon and that of the environmentalist Yannick Jadot, who bordered on 5% of the vote.

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According to polls, around 40% of voters who supported Mélenchon will vote for Macronwhile between 20% and 25% will vote for Le Pen and between 33% and 41% will abstain.

Macron also collects most of the vote of the environmentalist Jadot. Two out of three of his voters will support the current president following the slogan of their leader, a percentage that is increasing, since a week ago they were barely half.

Just under half of those who voted for the conservative Valérie Pécresse, who fell below 5% of the vote, will also bet on Macron.

Le Pen, for his part, has tried to moderate his speech after the second round, trying to iron out the most radical aspects, which are the ones that his rival highlights the most.

A strategy that, according to the polls, has caused him to lose some support among the most extremist electorate.

The far-right leader, who is closer than ever to victory, benefits from the support of the majority of the votes of the far-right candidate Éric Zemmour, fourth in the first round with 7% of the votes, with proposals more radical than theirs.

Eight out of ten Zemmour voters say they will vote for Le Pen now, although they are almost ten points less than those who said so a week ago.

Le Pen remains stable among Mélenchon’s voters. Between 20% and 25% of them will vote for the candidate of the extreme right, as will those of Pécresse, where she has a quarter of the votes.

Source: Elcomercio

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