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Bolsonaro vs. Lula: Who is winning in Brazil according to the latest polls before the second round on Sunday?

The advantage of Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva about the president Jair Bolsonaro has widened slightly to 6 percentage points, less than a week before the second round in Brazil, two polls showed on Wednesday.

Both were conducted between Sunday and Tuesday, and the results could have been influenced by the incident on Sunday in which Robert Jefferson, an ally of Bolsonarofired at the police, resisting arrest.

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Lula would obtain 53% of the valid votesup from 52% last week, compared to 47% of Bolsonarowhich had 48% in the previous poll, according to a survey of PowerData.

In another survey of Great/Quaestthe leftist former president had 48% support from voters, compared to 47% last week, while Bolsonaro remained at 42%.

great/quaest tried to estimate the impact of abstentions by adjusting for “likely voter,” which showed Lula with 52.1% of the valid votes compared to 47.9% of Bolsonaroa narrower result than the 52.8% to 47.2% that the model showed last week.

The second round of the Brazilian presidential elections is scheduled for Sunday, October 30.

Pollsters were widely criticized after the first-round vote for significantly underestimating support for Bolsonaro.

PowerData he interviewed 5,000 voters by phone and his poll has a margin of error of 1.5 percentage points.

The poll of Great/Quaest it interviewed 2,000 people between October 23 and 25 and has a margin of error of two percentage points.

Source: Elcomercio

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