US and Russian elections 2024: Competition fierce between Biden and Trump as Putin secures victory

This year 2024, the two greatest military powers in the world, U.S It is Russia, they will go to the presidential elections. In the case of the second, the outcome is practically resolved, since the current president Vladimir Putin There’s no competition. While in the North American country, although the Republican Party donald trump He is the favorite in the polls against the Democrat Joe BidenThe tycoon’s legal problems could end up harming his candidacy.

The elections in U.S They are scheduled for Tuesday, November 5th. But before both Democratic Party like him Republican party They must hold primaries.

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Under normal conditions, it could be guaranteed that candidates would be Joe Biden It is donald trump. Both have already faced each other in 2020 with the Democrat winning. Today they are favorites in the internal elections of their respective parties.

Donald Trump at a campaign event in Waterloo, Iowa, on October 7, 2023. (Photo by KAMIL KRZACZYNSKI/AFP). (KAMIL KRZACZYNSKI/)

But currently trump77 years old, He faces six legal proceedings, both criminal and civil, ranging from accusations of fraud, defamation, electoral interference, misuse of confidential documents, to conspiracy to subvert the elections.

Most of these lawsuits could begin before the November presidential election.

Two of these cases originate from the election he lost with Biden, a defeat that he did not recognize when he claimed to have been a victim of fraud. According to judicial authorities, trump He personally made efforts to reverse the irregular election results.

The main legal cases against Donald Trump. (AFP).

As a consequence, last December, two states, Colorado and Maine, decided to ban donald trump be a candidate in the Republican primaries.

The courts of both states determined that trump cannot run in elections due to his role in the assault on the Capitol January 2021, when hundreds of his followers attacked Congress headquarters on the same day that then-Vice President Mike Pence had to certify the victory of Biden.

Specifically, Colorado It is Maine they consider it trump participated in eventsinsurrection” and that for this reason he is not eligible for the Presidency of the country, due to the 14 amendment of the Constitution of the United States.

The states where a veto on Trump’s candidacy was requested. (AFP).

What will happen now? The Republican primaries will begin in January and end in June. The decisions of Maine It is Colorado They are only valid for the primaries in these states, scheduled for March 5th. But both decisions were suspended pending a final decision, which would be the Supreme Court of the United States.

Thus, until the Supreme Court rules on the issue, ballots in those states must include the name of the trump.

Public opinion and the parties themselves asked the Supreme Court to resolve the problem urgently.

As for other states with similar claims about Trump’s candidacy, Michigan, Minnesota and California have determined that the tycoon has the right to appear at the polls.

What could happen at the United States Supreme Court? It’s unpredictable. But it is necessary to take into account that when trump was in power, there were changes in its composition and now there is a strong conservative majority in the country’s main justice body.

At this point, it should be noted that trump can continue campaigning. Furthermore, even if he is convicted in one of his trials and wins the elections, nothing would prevent him from assuming the Presidency of the United States.

US President Joe Biden, in image from July 25, 2023. (Photo by Mandel NGAN/AFP). (MANDEL NGAN/)

About Bidenthe 81-year-old president’s re-election candidacy does not increase voting intentions in the polls.

In CNN’s latest national poll, trump has an advantage of 49% against 45% of Biden.

Although a November survey by The New York Times found that trump will win Biden in five of the six major states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania. The Democrat is only ahead in Wisconsin.

It should be noted that the key states are those that end up giving victory to one of the candidates, as in the United States electoral system, whoever obtains the most votes at a national level does not necessarily win.

In the CNN poll, the majority of voters felt that Biden He does not have the attributes they look for in a president in aspects such as his political positions, his ability to understand people’s problems or his acuity and resistance.

Furthermore, support for Biden among young people there was a significant drop in surveys. An NBC News national poll in November put him close trump among voters between 18 and 34 years old, a drastic setback compared to the 20-point advantage that Biden had over Trump in 2020 in this segment of the population.

Among the various reasons that young people gave for not supporting Biden There is one situation, the war between Israel and Hamas, which had the worst impact on its relationship with this group of voters, according to NBC News.

The NBC News poll, conducted just over a month after the conflict began, showed that 70% of voters under the age of 35 disapproved of Biden’s handling of the war.

Russian President Vladimir Putin visits the Naryn-Kala fortress in Derbent, Republic of Dagestan, on June 28, 2023. (Photo by Gavriil GRIGOROV/SPUTNIK/AFP). (GAVRIIL GRIGOROV/)

Between March 15th and 17th Russia will hold presidential elections with Vladimir Putin71 years old, candidate for re-election for the fifth time since 2000 and with an almost guaranteed victory.

These will be the first elections in Russia since the beginning of the war in Ukraineat the end of February 2022.

As in previous elections, in March there will not be an openly opposition candidate who could overshadow put on.

Thus, international public opinion thinks that these elections will be a kind of referendum on the progress of the Russian military campaign in the future. Ukraine and that the president’s objective will be to maintain the level of support at the polls that he has obtained in the past.

Putin’s longevity in power. (AFP).

put on was elected president of Russia for the first time in 2000 and subsequently won four presidential elections.

Between 2008 and 2012 he served as prime minister.

The president can run again thanks to a controversial constitutional reform that was approved in 2020. Due to this change, He could run in 2024 and if he wins he could run for re-election in 2030, where he would remain in power until 2036.when he is 84 years old.

The elections that Putin won. (AFP).

At the time, put on He doesn’t face any major rivals. Five major parties were allowed to present a candidate without collecting signatures, all of them allies of the Kremlin and supporters of the war in Ukraine, noted the AFP agency.

Almost all opponents who could endanger Putin’s re-election, including anti-corruption activist Alexey Navalnywere imprisoned or forced into exile.

The last to fall was the journalist and former councilor Ekaterina Duntsova40 years old, whose presidential candidacy was discarded by the electoral commission due to “errors in the documents” he presented for registration.

Duntsova He regretted the decision, which he described as “sad”.

She presented herself as the “alternative” to current power and criticized the Russian military campaign in Ukraine.

Source: Elcomercio