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Joe Biden: wars in Gaza and Ukraine make his path to re-election difficult

Shouting “Genocidal Joe!”, a group of pro-Palestinian activists interrupted the first major speech of the US president’s primary campaign on Tuesday. Joe Biden.

It is a sign that the president faces an arduous path towards his re-election this year, made difficult by two uncomfortable international conflicts: a war in Gaza that threatens to spread and a dispute in Ukraine that remains stagnant.

Biden arrived at the White House three years ago with the promise of regaining American leadership in the world after four years of chaos and isolationism by his predecessor. donald trump.

Today, Trump is advancing unstoppably in the primaries for the Republican presidential candidacy, while the Democratic leader tries to balance himself so that the international board and his electoral aspirations do not explode.

No solution in Gaza

Almost four months after the massacre perpetrated by Hamas in Israel, the Israeli offensive against the Islamic group in Gaza has already left more than 25,000 Palestinians dead and an unprecedented humanitarian crisis.

Pressure from Washington’s Arab allies forced Biden to demand restraint from the Israeli government, but the United States maintains the UN veto on the ceasefire and continues to supply weapons to Israel.

More recently, Biden insisted on the need to found a Palestinian state after the war, but was faced with the absolute rejection of the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu.

According to Michael Hanna, an analyst at the International Crisis Group, for years the United States “has not demonstrated any real commitment” to the creation of a state for the Palestinians, so “the circumstances do not appear encouraging”.

Furthermore, although the US elections revolve around domestic politics, this expert considers it “very possible” that the Gaza war will have its effects on Biden at the polls.

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A poll published by the New York Times last month found that 57% of Americans disapprove of the president’s handling of the conflict.

The survey showed even more worrying data for the Democratic campaign, considering that 67% of young people under 30, a key group for Biden’s re-election, want a ceasefire in Gaza.

Council on American-Islamic Relations deputy director Edward Ahmed Mitchell has no doubt that the situation in Gaza will be “an issue of concern” for the country’s growing Muslim population in November’s elections.

“What is happening in Gaza is incredible. “We are witnessing a real-time genocide financed by American taxpayers,” he says in statements to EFE.

Fronts multiply

In light of all this, it appears that the four trips that Secretary of State Antony Blinken made to the Middle East to avoid a regional conflagration of the conflict did not bear fruit and the fronts are multiplying.

Biden first ordered the bombing of Yemen’s Houthi rebels to try to stop that group’s attacks on commercial ships in the Red Sea, but they have continued.

On Tuesday, the president also decided to bomb the positions of pro-Iranian militias that have been attacking US military personnel in Iraq for weeks.

Hanna states that the existence of an “escalation” is evident and that “the longer the war in Gaza lasts, the greater the risk of an all-out war in the region.”

Ukraine, an entrenched problem

As for Ukraine, there is no longer any money in the bank and Biden is trying to get Congress to approve new funds so that Kiev can continue to repel the Russian invasion.

But Republicans, who are wary of spending money on a stalled Ukrainian counteroffensive, have conditioned the progress of negotiations on a very thorny issue in the middle of the election campaign: they demand a more restrictive immigration policy.

The defense of Ukraine “has already become part of the cultural war” between conservatives and progressives, says Juan Luis Manfredi, holder of the Prince of Asturias Chair at Georgetown University.

Furthermore, it is an issue that generates “boredom” among the electorate, which Biden precisely has to mobilize to block Trump’s passage to the White House.

The only certainty for Mafredi is that a republican victory in November would be “good news for Putinism and bad news for Ukraine”.

Source: Elcomercio

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