Israeli expert: “If Israel’s attack is what we saw, Iran can live with it”

The Israeli expert on Iranian affairs at the University of Tel Aviv David Menashri considers that if the retaliation of Israel against Will limited to the attack that occurred in the early hours of Friday, he does not believe it is likely that Tehran respond, because their authorities are not looking for a direct confrontation, which would drag U.S and other Western powers.

“If the Israeli attack is all we saw today, Iran can live with it“, assured Menashri in a telephone interview with EFE.

READ TOO: Iranian nuclear facilities “did not suffer damage”, says IAEA after explosions

For the analyst Alliance Center for Iranian Studies, Proof of this is that Iran avoids accusing Israeland television is showing images from Isfahan, where the attack took place, to convey that life “works well as always” and minimize aggression.

In fact, the Iranian army He hinted this Friday that he will not respond to the attack he suffered last night and which did not cause any damage.

“Thanks to our vigilance, flying objects“, said the Commander-in-Chief of the Iranian Army, Major General. Abdul Rahim Mousavi, to the Iranian agency Defa Press, specialized in defense.

When asked if Will will respond to aggression, Mousavi he claimed: “We have already seen the answer Will”in an apparent allusion to last Saturday’s attack on Israel.

For the analyst, this situation must also satisfy Israelwho managed to send the message that he can attack in any part of the country, no matter how deep it is.

The attack attributed to Israel responds to wave of more than three hundred drones and missiles launched last Saturday by Iran in retaliation for the Israeli attack on its consulate in Damascus on April 1, in which seven members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard and six Syrian citizens.

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Israel’s Miscalculation

The expert considers that Israel miscalculated possible answers Tehran to the attack on the Iranian diplomatic mission in Syria on April 1st, the origin of this new escalation of tension that keeps the countries of the region in suspense and the international community fearful of the outbreak of a regional war.

“I think Israel miscalculated the Iranian response and this is not the first time it has done so. We made a strategic mistake with Hamas on October 7th, because we have this dogmatic principle by which we convinced ourselves that they would not attack us, that we had the power and they would not attack us and they did“, it says.

Menashri points out that Israel thought the attack on Syriain which the commander of the Revolutionary Guard Mohamed Reza Zahediwould be similar to others perpetrated against this elite Iranian body in Lebanon or against scientists from the Iranian nuclear program.

But Iran changed its strategy It is ““The equation changed: for the first time they launched an attack from Iran and I think Israel was not prepared, nor was it prepared for October 7th.”

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Iran, forced to respond

The teacher at Tel Aviv University He also believes that the attack on the Revolutionary Guard put Iran in the position of responding to Israel, on the one hand, due to internal pressures that ensured that Will “he had lost his dignity” and remained silent and, on the other hand, from its Yemeni allies (the Houthis) who accused him of inaction.

“Allies, especially in YemenThey said: ‘You are using us to fight against Israel and now where is it? Heyran’“, comments Menashriwhich explains that the question of the question was not that the attack was carried out against an Iranian diplomatic mission, because – according to them – their own Iranians in 1979 attacked the American embassy in Teheran, by the number and rank of the guardians of the murdered revolution.

But also, he adds, Will nor does it contemplate in its plans a direct war against Israelbecause he is aware that this would mean confronting the United States and its allies, but he prefers to focus on his nuclear program to, supposedly, develop an atomic bomb, expand its influence in the region and resolve critical internal movements.

In turn, the expert considers that the defensive capacity demonstrated by Israel before the release of drones and missiles was a victory in itself, but a victory to which the Israeli Government was also forced to respond.

“Israel could not go unanswered due to the pressure of national public opinion, the extremists of the current Government and because it was a humiliation (…). It was the first time that Iran attacked and we are not used to”he said.

Likewise, he highlighted that the decision to Israel of counterattacking with “moderate” and “calculated” actions is not attributable solely to the “wisdom” of Israelbut “we must also give credit to the president of the U.S, Joe BidenThe European Unionfor Saudi Arabiato Jordan and other countries that form a coalition of moderate states.”

Source: Elcomercio

jack

I am Jack Morton and I work in 24 News Recorder. I mostly cover world news and I have also authored 24 news recorder. I find this work highly interesting and it allows me to keep up with current events happening around the world.