Exiles and analysts believe Nicaraguan crisis will worsen after elections

International analysts and Nicaraguan exiles agreed this Saturday in a virtual forum that the crisis of Nicaragua it will probably worsen after the elections of next November 7, in which the president Daniel Ortega seeks another reelection.

In the “Forum on the implications and how to achieve the illegitimacy of the electoral fraud of November 7”, representatives of the Nicaraguan organization in the World (NEEM), the American Institute for Democracy, and Penal Action, affirmed that the elections will only be a procedure, and that the country’s problems could increase.

“The Nicaraguan people are clear that November 7 has already happened, we already know what is going to happen. Nicaragua enters a chaos, because the regime has a very clear strategy, which is power or death (…) it implies more people going into exile, more political prisoners, more persecution, more uncertainty and more hopelessness, that awaits us in terms of of human rights ”, said the president of NEEM, Haydée Castillo.

According to data from the office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), more than 108,000 Nicaraguans left their country between 2018 and 2020, fleeing the socio-political crisis.

The Inter-American Commission on Human Rights (IACHR) recognizes that there are 155 “political prisoners” in Nicaragua, including 39 opposition leaders, businessmen and independent professionals, seven of whom aspired to compete with Ortega for the presidency in the next elections.

For the executive director of the American Institute for Democracy, the former Minister of Government and Defense of Bolivia Carlos Sánchez Berzain, the panorama of Nicaragua is the same as that of Cuba, Venezuela or Bolivia.

“This is not an exclusively Nicaraguan process or phenomenon, it obeys a methodology expanded throughout the region by the so-called 21st century socialism or ‘Castrochavism’, led by Cuba, with its main platform in Venezuela and which controls the Governments of Bolivia and Nicaragua, ”said Sánchez Berzain.

The Bolivian applauded the opposition’s decision to encourage Nicaraguans not to go to the polls on voting day, since, from his point of view, this would prevent the elections from being presented “as if it were a democratic process.”

The jurist Boanerges Fornos, coordinator of the organization Acción Penal, stressed that voting is not compulsory in Nicaragua, and that Nicaraguans can abstain from exercising that right because “we know that there are voting but we are not sure of being able to choose.”

He added that the lack of voters would lead to the elected government being declared “illegitimate” by the international community, thereby exposing it to facing legal processes such as the Palermo Treaty against transnational organized crime, or being excluded from the mechanisms. international financial

Sánchez Berzain stressed that this is the modern way to end “with dictatorships.”

More than 4.4 million Nicaraguans over the age of 16 are eligible to vote in the November elections, in which the ruling Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN), led by Ortega, is the favorite to win over six others matches.

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