Lula da Silva raises his lead over Bolsonaro from 17 to 21 points in polls in Brazil

The ex-president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silvafavorite to win the presidential elections next October in Brazilincreased from 17 to 21 percentage points the distance that separates him from the current president, Jair Bolsonaro, in the new survey by the Datafolha firm, released this Thursday.

The intention to vote for the leader of the Workers’ Party (PT) rose 5 percentage points in two months, from 43% in a similar Datafolha survey carried out in March to 48% in the new survey, carried out between Wednesday and Thursday of this week.

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The percentage of Brazilians willing to re-elect the far-right leader, a candidate for the Liberal Party (PL), only rose one point, from 26% in March to 27% in May, according to the survey commissioned by the Folha de Sao Paulo newspaper. .

In the spontaneous survey, in which the pollster does not mention the name of the candidate, the intention to vote for the former Brazilian president (2003-2010) rose even more, from 30% in March to 38% in May, while the Bolsonaro dropped from 23% to 22% in the same period.

The survey confirmed not only Lula’s favoritism, but also the complete polarization of the electoral dispute in Brazil between the progressive leader and the far-right leader, since the third favorite candidate is former Labor Minister Ciro Gomes, who received the third most votes in the elections. of 2018, which only has 7% of the intention to vote.

The other candidates do not exceed 2% of voting intentions, which undermines the viability of a third way defended by various parties to put an end to the current polarization in Brazil.

After Ciro Gomes, the candidates with the highest voting intentions are André Janones, from the Avante party, with 2%; Senator Simone Tebet, from the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB), with 2%; Pablo Marçal, from the Pros party, with 1%; and Vera Lucia, from the leftist United Workers Socialist Party (PSTU), with 1%.

The candidates Felipe d’Avila (Novo), Sofia Manzano (PCB), Leonardo Péricles (UP), Eymael (DC), Luciano Bivar (UB) and General Santos Cruz (Podemos) did not even score.

This is the first poll released since two of the possible candidates of the center who had some viability, former judge Sergio Moro and former governor of Sao Paulo Joao Doria, announced that they had withdrawn from the dispute for the Presidency.

The points won by both Lula and Bolsonaro in the last two months come both from the followers of Moro and Doria, as well as from the undecided or dissatisfied, since the percentage of Brazilian voters who intend to vote blank fell to 7% and the of those who intend to annul their vote fell to 4%.

According to Datafolha, the new poll surveyed 2,556 voters over the age of 16 in 181 different cities across the country, between Wednesday and Thursday of this week, and has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.

According to the new survey, Lula’s intention is greater among women, with 49% supporting the progressive candidate, compared to 23% for Bolsonaro. Voters between 16 and 24 years old (58% vs. 21%), people with only primary education (57% to 21%), those interviewed with lower income (56% to 20%); Blacks (57% to 23%), Catholics (54% to 23%), and the unemployed (57% to 16%).

Bolsonaro only leads among voters with income above 10 minimum wages, with the support of 42% compared to 31% of the socialist; evangelicals (39% to 36%) and businesspeople (56% to 23%).

Source: Elcomercio

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