Elections Colombia 2022 | New RCN Tracking: Rodolfo Hernández 47.8%, Gustavo Petro 46.8%

The most recent measurement in the race for the Presidency of Colombiathe tracking that the firm GAD3 Colombia SAS does for RCN, shows the following figures in the intention to vote of Colombians: Rodolfo Hernández, 47.8%; Gustavo Petro, 46.8%. The trend shows, according to the graphs of this company, a decrease in the case of the engineer while the leader of the Historical Pact remains. Thus, the distance is getting shorter between the two. When the measurements began, shortly after the first round, the former mayor of Bucaramanga scored 52.5% and the former mayor of Bogotá 44.8%.

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The survey released this Tuesday morning by RCN FM shows a graph that reflects a notable change. It is about the question: “Who do you think he will be the president?” According to this study, 46.1% of Colombians believe that he will be Hernández while 44.4% believe that it will be Petro.

When the first study was done, 51.8% believed that it would be the engineer while 40.4% believed that it would be the senator of Human Colombia. That is to say, there was a difference of almost 11 points of citizens who considered that Hernández was going to win. Now, there are already less than two points.

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In such a tight race, enthusiasm is vital. According to this study, it would seem, then, that the emotion that Hernández initially aroused has been giving way.

This is the technical sheet that shows the study:

Data sheet

Legal entity that carried it out: GAD3 Colombia SAS Legal entity that entrusted it: RCN Televisión SA

Funding source: RCN Television SA

Type of sample and procedure used to select the sample units: Random selection of interviewees with daily compliance with quotas by sex and age and geographical quotas.

Proportional allocation in the country as a whole. (See table on geographical distribution of the sample).

Sample size: Total: 3,641 according to the following waves: 30/31-May: 1,200; Jun-1: 556; Jun-2: 553; June 3: 531, June 4: 400 and June 5: 401.

Study topic: Voting intention for the second round of the presidential elections in Colombia 2022

Specific questions that were asked: 14 (the complete form with the complete answers is attached)

Characters who were investigated: Presidential candidates for the second round Colombia 2022: Gustavo Petro and Rodolfo Hernández.

Area (geographic universe and population universe): National scope. Residents in Colombia with the right to vote.

Technique used for the selection of the sample: Computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) to cell phones in Colombia.

Collection date: May 30 to June 6, 2022, ai Margin of error: ± 1.7% (n=3,240) for a degree of confidence of 95.5% (two sigma) and in the most unfavorable hypothesis of P =Q=0.5 in the assumption of simple random sampling.

Statistician who designed the research: Doctor Narciso Michavila Núñez

Source: Elcomercio

Ronald Payne

I, Ronald Payne, am a journalist and author who dedicated his life to telling the stories that need to be said. I have over 7 years of experience as a reporter and editor, covering everything from politics to business to crime.